TrendLine Saskatchewan

 

TrendLine Saskatchewan - June 2025

Employment growth (2.6%) in May driven by construction, health care, and social assistance, agriculture, and public administration.

  • YTD provincial unemployment down nearly 10%
  • YTD Housing starts up 105.7%
  • Construction leads employment growth with a 16.3% increase YTD
Stephen Johnson

MA
Chief Economist

In May 2025, Saskatchewan’s economy demonstrated robust growth, with total average year-to-date employment rising by 2.6% (15,220 positions) compared to the same period in 2024, driven largely by gains in sectors such as construction, health care and social assistance, agriculture, and public administration, while declines were noted in professional, scientific and technical services, wholesale and retail trade, and manufacturing. Most employment growth was in full-time positions, and the unemployment rate dropped from 5.6% to 5.0%. Housing starts surged by 105.7%, the Housing Price Index increased to $350,350, and inflation averaged 1.7% year-over-year, led by higher food and shelter costs. Building permits rose by 79.6%, retail trade climbed by 6.6%, and wholesale trade soared by 24.3%, although manufacturing sales fell by 5.4%. New motor vehicle sales increased by 18.6%, average weekly earnings grew by 5.9%, and restaurant receipts were up 3.2%. The province’s population reached an all-time high of 1,253,569, primarily due to international immigration, even as net interprovincial migration remained negative.

In general, Saskatchewan businesses are operating in a favorable economic climate marked by rising employment, strong population growth, and increased consumer spending, which together signal expanded market opportunities and heightened demand for goods and services. The surge in full-time jobs and a lower unemployment rate suggest a growing pool of skilled workers and greater consumer confidence, while robust gains in sectors like construction, health care, and retail point to sector-specific opportunities for expansion. Housing starts and building permits have risen sharply, indicating a boom in construction and related industries, and the increase in average weekly earnings may further boost local consumption. Businesses can also benefit from a supportive policy environment, including one of the lowest small business tax rates in Canada, a high-income threshold for the small business tax rate, and a wide array of grants, incentives, and support programs for both startups and established firms. However, challenges remain in sectors experiencing employment or sales declines, such as manufacturing and certain professional services, highlighting the need for adaptation and innovation. Additionally, the province’s focus on attracting investment and facilitating international trade offers further growth prospects, especially for businesses able to scale or tap into export market.

Composite Indicator Actual & Seasonally Adjusted

Key Indicator This Month

Employment

2.6%

June 2025 YTD

Employment

2.6%

June 2025 YTD

Back to Top

Back to Top

Back to Top

Back to Top

Back to Top

Back to Top

Back to Top

Back to Top

Back to Top

Available Downloads


This Issue's Economist:

Stephen Johnson

MA
Chief Economist

This Issue's Editor:

Spencer Boyle

BA, Economics
Project Coordinator


TrendLine Saskatchewan is published monthly by Praxis Consulting.